espanyol vs villarreal Tip Reason:

If you’d offered Rubi a draw prior to the first leg, then he may well have taken it, though the Espanyol boss would’ve undoubtedly been annoyed not to have taken an aggregate lead after the way the game panned out at Estadio de la Cerámica a week ago. Espanyol led by not one but two goals with just five minutes left to go, so the fact that the Catalonian side failed to come out on top was disappointing. Espanyol were pegged back late on last week, but they can take plenty of confidence from the fact that they played well away from home. On the balance of play, it’s hard to say that Rubi’s men definitely deserved to win, though it was them that created marginally the best opportunities, as the fact that they ended the match with an expected goal difference of +0.22 suggests. Thursday’s hosts have been a bit up and down at home of late, but their efforts in their most recent match at RCDE Stadium were solid. On that occasion, Espanyol got the better of Leganes in sturdy fashion. A repeat of that performance would likely to be enough to see off a Villarreal side that given plenty away on the road during the current campaign. Moreover, when the teams met at this venue earlier in the campaign, Espanyol won by three goals to one and deservedly so. In that match, the hosts dominated both in terms of efforts at goal and clear-cut chances created. Again, a repeat of that effort would likely see Rubi’s men come out on top. Playing away from home has brought Villarreal little joy this season. Thursday’s visitors have won just twice away from home in the league, while they’re now without a travelling win since September. They’ve conceded two or more goals in five of their last six away games and have been outperformed in terms of expected goals five of those six too, including when coming unstuck at this venue earlier in the campaign. Going by the two previous renewals of this fixture (this season), it’s easy to fancy the hosts, though despite playing well, they’ve not been convincing enough to warrant such a short-price. The bet that does stand out is ‘Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score’. If we look at the fact that Espanyol are averaging 1.54 expected goals and 1.46 against at home, alongside the fact that Villarreal are averaging 1.42 for and 1.95 against on the road, coupled with the fact that the pair shared four goals and 4.24 expected goals when they met at this venue in October, then it’s easy to feel that a bet on a high-scoring match represents a slice of a value.

Espanyol vs Villarreal Betting Prediction:

Espanyol 3 1 Villarreal
Tip: 1


Recommended BET Stakes : 7/10 units

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